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Desk note · Equity desk

Megacaps: guidance ahead of the EPS beat

Capex and buybacks matter more than the headline.

Equities · 07:12 ET · Delayed. Not a solicitation to trade.

Four large names are on the tape this week. The desk reads guidance before the EPS beat. Capex, buybacks, and the cash-flow line decide whether a beat is the same print as last quarter.

A beat with a higher spending plan is a different event from a beat with a cut. The index can rise while the single name raises outlays. Breadth under the megacaps is the second look.

None of this is a rating. The lots on the blotter are paper. The note says what to read, not what to buy.

What the desk is watching

  • Guidance before the EPS headline
  • Capex and buybacks first
  • Four names, not the whole index