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Desk note · Strategy

Earnings season: four names, the index is not the report

Read the name’s guidance, not the future.

Macro · 09:16 ET · Delayed. Not a solicitation to trade.

Earnings season is four names, not the index. The future is not the report. Trading without the name’s guidance trades the move without the line.

Capex, buybacks, cloud, ads, NII: each company has a different line that comes before EPS. The desk repeats them one by one, so a beat does not mean the same thing for all of them.

No ratings. Paper levels, delayed.

What the desk is watching

  • Four names, not the index
  • The name’s guidance, not the future
  • Each company has a different first line